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Quick Impression of Course 4 of deeplearning.ai

* Fellows, I just got the certificate. As you know, I really love to review the whole specialization so I decide to take the class myself. Since I haven't watched all lectures yet, this is my usual "Quick Impression".

* I am a slow learner (getting stubborn?  ) , so I was more like the 100th guy who finish the class in our Coursera deeplearning.ai forum. Go check it out. There are many experienced DLers there: https://www.facebook.com/groups/DeepLearningAISpecialization/

* Many of you had noted that it is a very good class for computer vision. My assessment so far this is a very good *first* class if you want to get into DL-based computer vision. But then there are many great material you can still only learn from cs231n. So I would suggest you to go through it as well after you finish Course 4.

* So far as I see, it has perhaps one of the best explanations on basics of Convnet, as well as what YOLO is. Perhaps the pity is the short length of the course disallow going in-depth on topic such as RCNN, segmentation, GAN-based synthesis. All of these, cs231n has much better coverage.

* At this point, the course is still a bit unstable. There are assignment which requires an implementation which doesn't match the notebook. But the staff is working on it now.

That's what I have. Hope this is helpful. I am going to write up a full review for Course 3 and 4 soon too.

On Whether AI Are Stealing Our Jobs.

This is a question that come up from time to time. So I will just give you couple of perspectives.
 
First thing first: you should first ask what "A.I." are we talking about. A lot of times, when people are talking about machine are taking jobs away from people, they are really talking about "automation" is taking away the jobs. Now "automation" just means something can be done without human interference, it might or might not have to do with A.I. For example, I can write a for-loop to repeat something for 1 million times. But no one would call it "A.I.", "programming" may be. So in that sense automobile, large-scale industry equipment are all "automations".
 
This is an important note because to determine if jobs are really taken away from humans, we need to look at economic data, but so far, there is not many reports which are really on "A.I"'s impact. But there are many studies which look at the impact of "automation", then they will say "Oh, AI in recent years have been helping automation" but they usually don't quantify the impact.
 
Now then there is the idea of this supreme AI being (or AGI) will control everything in the world. Valeria Iegorova said it well, we are just far far away from that scenario. Just imagine you want to automate the manual work by a construction worker - creating a biepedal robot with the capability to walk around a construction site is a billion dollar project. Not to say to ask them actually do work.
 
So why would so many people fear about A.I. steal away their jobs then? Well, many of those who complains are really unemployed because of various reasons. May be their industry is just no longer appropriate for the time.
 
Now are there any cases where A.I. are replacing humans? Yes. But their economists will tell you a long-known fact - with proper re-training, humans can quite easily get back to workforce. So you might here a lot of more senior citizens these days are learning programming and get hired. These are usually incentivized by governments. In an other words - if you live in a place governments sense unemployment issues early, they will usually come up with reasonable solutions to resolve the problem.
 
Hope this is not too long. But I think it covers the topic. Other than that, good luck!

(Repost) Quick Impression on "Deep Learning" by Goodfellow et al.

(I wrote it back in Feb 14, 2017.)

I have some leisure lately to browse "Deep Learning" by Goodfellow for the first time. Since it is known as the bible of deep learning, I decide to write a short afterthought post, they are in point form and not too structured.

* If you want to learn the zen of deep learning, "Deep Learning" is the book. In a nutshell, "Deep Learning" is an introductory style text book on nearly every contemporary fields in deep learning. It has a thorough chapter covered Backprop, perhaps best introductory material on SGD, computational graph and Convnet. So the book is very suitable for those who want to further their knowledge after going through 4-5 introductory DL classes.

* Chapter 2 is supposed to go through the basic Math, but it's unlikely to cover everything the book requires. PRML Chapter 6 seems to be a good preliminary before you start reading the book. If you don't feel comfortable about matrix calculus, perhaps you want to read "Matrix Algebra" by Abadir as well.

* There are three parts of the book, Part 1 is all about the basics: math, basic ML, backprop, SGD and such. Part 2 is about how DL is used in real-life applications, Part 3 is about research topics such as E.M. and graphical model in deep learning, or generative models. All three parts deserve your time. The Math and general ML in Part 1 may be better replaced by more technical text such as PRML. But then the rest of the materials are deeper than the popular DL classes. You will also find relevant citations easily.

* I enjoyed Part 1 and 2 a lot, mostly because they are deeper and fill me with interesting details. What about Part 3? While I don't quite grok all the Math, Part 3 is strangely inspiring. For example, I notice a comparison of graphical models and NN. There is also how E.M. is used in latent model. Of course, there is an extensive survey on generative models. It covers difficult models such as deep Boltmann machine, spike-and-slab RBM and many variations. Reading Part 3 makes me want to learn classical machine learning techniques, such as mixture models and graphical models better.

* So I will say you will enjoy Part 3 if you are,
-a DL researcher in unsupervised learning and generative model or
-someone wants to squeeze out the last bit of performance through pre-training.
-someone who want to compare other deep methods such as mixture models or graphical model and NN.

Anyway, that's what I have now. May be I will summarize in a blog post later on, but enjoy these random thoughts for now.

Arthur

(Repost) Recommended books in Machine Learning/Deep Learning.

(I am editing my site, so I decide to separate the book list into a separate page.)

I am often asked what the best beginner books on machine learning.  Here I list several notable references and they are usually known as "Bibles" in the field.   Also read the comments on why they are useful and how you may read them.

Machine Learning:

IMG_5135

Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning by Christopher Bishop

One of the most popular and useful references in general machine learning.   It is also the tougher book to read among this list.   Generally known as PRML,  Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning is a comprehensive treatment on several important and relevant machine learning techniques such as neural networks, graphical models and boosting.   There are in-depth discussion as well as supplementary exercises on each techniques.

The book is very Bayesian, and rightly so because Bayesian thinking is very useful in practice.   e.g. It's treatment of bias-variance is to treat it as the "frequentist illusion", which is a more advanced view point compared to most beginner classes you would take. (I think only Hinton's class fairly discuss the merit of Bayesian approach.)

While it is a huge tomb, I would still consider the book as a beginner book, because it doesn't really touch all important issues in all techniques.  e.g.  there is no in-depth discussion in sequential minimal optimization (SMO) in SVM.   It is also not a deep learning /deep neural network book.  For that Bengio/GoodFellow's book seem to be a much better read.

If you want to reap benefit out of this book, consider to do exercise from the back of the books.  Sure it will take you a while, but doing any one of the exercises would give you incredible insight on how different machine techniques work.

Pattern Classification 3rd Edition by R. Duda, P.E. Hart and D.G Stork

Commonly known as "Duda and Hart",  its 2nd Edition titled "Pattern Classification and Scene Analysis" was more known to be bible of pattern classification.  Of course, nowadays "machine learning" is the more trendy term, and in my view the two topics are quite similar.

The book is highly technical (and perhaps terse) description of machine learning, which I found more senior scientists usually referred to back when I was working at Raytheon BBN.

Compare to PRML, I found that "Duda and Hart" is slightly outdated, but it's treatment on linear classifiers is still very illuminating.   The 3rd edition is updated so that there are computer exercises.   Since I usually learn an algorithm directly looking at either the original paper or source code, I found these exercises are not as useful.   But some of my first mathematical drilling (back in 2000s) on pattern recognition does come from the guided exercises of this book, so I still recommend this book to beginners.

Machine Learning by Tom Mitchell

Compared to PRML and Duda & Hart,  Mitchell's book is much shorter and concise, thus more readable.  It is also more "rule-based" so there are discussion on concept learning, decision trees e.g.

If you want to read an entire book of machine learning, this could be your first choice.   Both PRML and Duda&Hart  are not for faint of heart.    While Mitchell's book is perhaps less relevant for today's purpose, I still found its discussion of decision tree and artificial neural network very illuminating.

The Master Algorithm : How the Quest for the Ultimate Learning Machine Will Remake Our World by Pedro Domingos

You can think of it as a popular sci non-fi.   It's also a great introduction on several schools of thoughts in machine learning.

Books I heard which are Good.

  1. Hasti/Tibshirani/Friedman's Elements of Statistical Learning
  2. Barber's Bayesian Reasoning and Machine Learning
  3. Murphy's Machine Learning: a Probabilistic Perspective
  4. MacKay's Information Theory, Inference and Learning Algorithms
  5. Goodfellow/Bengio/Courville's Deep Learning  - the only one on this list which is related to deep learning. (See my impression here.)

More Advanced Books (i.e. They are good but I don't fully Grok them.)

  1. Perceptrons: An Introduction to Computational Geometry, Expanded Edition by Marvin Minsky and Seymour Papert - an important book which change history of neural network development.
  2. Parallel Models of Associative Memory by Geoff Hinton - another book of historical interest.

A Quick Impression on the Course "Synapses, Neurons and Brains"

Hi Guys, I recently finished the coursework of Synapses, Neurons and Brains (SNB below). Since neuroscience is really not my expertise, I just want to write a "Quick Impression" post to summarize what I learned:

* Idan Segev is an inspiring professor and you can feel his passion of the topic of the brain throughout the class.

* Prof. Segev is fond of the use of computational neuroscience, and thus simulation approach of connectome. Perhaps thus the topics taught in the class, Hudgins-Huxley model, Rall's cable Model, dendritic computation, the Blue brain projects.

* Compare to Fairhall and Rao's computational neuroscience, which has a general sense of applying ML approach/thinking in Neuroscience. SNB has a stronger emphasis on discussing motivating neuroscientific experiments such as Hubel and Wiesel when discussing the neurocortex. And the "squid experiment" when developing the HH model. So I found it very educational.

* The course also touches on seemingly more philosophical issues such as "Can you download a mind?", "Is it possible to read mind?", "Is there such thing call free will?" Prof. Segev presented his point of view and supporting experiments. I don't want to spoil it out, check it out if you like.

* Finally, it's on coursework - ah, it's all multiple choices and you can try up to 10 times per 8 hours but this is a tough course to pass. The course feature many multi-multiple choices question and doesn't give you any feedback on your mistakes. And you need to understand the course material quite well to get them right correctly.

* Some students even complained that some of the questions don't make sense - I think it is going a bit too far. But it's fair to say that the course wasn't really well maintained in the last 2 years or so. And you don't really see any mentors chime in to help students. That could be a downside for all of us learners.

* But I would say I still learn a lot in the process. So I do recommend you to listen through the lecture if you are into neuroscience. May be what you should decide is if you want to finish all the coursework.

That's what I have. Enjoy!

Re AIDL Member: The Next AI Winter

Re Dorin Ioniţă (Also a longer write-up Sergey Zelvenskiy's post) Whenever people asked me about AI winter. I couldn't help but think of on-line poker in 2008 and web programming in 2000. But let me just focus on web-programming?

At around 1995-2001, there was the time people keep on telling you "web programming" is the future. Many young people were told that if you know html and CGI programming, you would have a bright future. That's not too untrue. In fact, if you get good at web programming at 2000, you probably started a company and made a decent living for .... 3-4 years. But then competition arises, many college starts to include web as a core curriculum - as a result, web programming is sort of a very common skills nowadays. I am not saying it is not useful - but you are usually competing with 100 programmers to get one job.

So back to AI. Since we start to realize AI/DL can be useful, now everyone is jumping onto the wagon. Of course, there are more senior people who has been 'there', joined couple of DARPA projects or worked in ML startup years before deep learning. But most of them are frankly young college kids, who try to have a future with AI/DL. (Check out our forum?) For them, I am afraid it's likely that they will encounter a future similar to web programmers in 2000. The supply of labor will one day surpass the demand. So it's very likely that data science/machine learning is not their final destination.

So am I arguing there is an AI winter coming? Not in the old classical sense of "AI Winter" when research funding dried up. But more on like AI as a product in a product cycle - just like every technology - it will go through a hype cycle. And one day when the reality of the product doesn't meet expectation, things would just bust. It's just the way it is. We can argue to the death on whether deep learning is different or not. But you should know every technology follow similar hype cycle. Some last longer, some don't. We will have to wait and see.

For OP: If you are asking of a career advice though, so here is something I learn from poker (tl;dr story) and many other things in life - if you are genuinely smart, you can always learn up a new topic quicker than other people. That's usually what determine if you can make a living. The rest are luck, karma and whether you buy beers for your friends.

How to Think of A New Idea in A.I.?

Rephrase:  How to come up with an idea in A.I. or Machine Learning?

Answer:
1, What other people are doing and is it possible to make a twist about it?

2, What is a problem which *you* want to solve in your life. Then think, is there anyway AI/ML can help you? Everyone has some - e.g. I really like to make a the old-style Nintendo Final Fantasy style game. But then drawing the graphics of bitmap character takes insanely amount of time. So is there any way A.I. can help me? Yes, one potential idea is to create an image generator.

Would these ideas work? Who knows? But that's how you come up with ideas. You ignore the feasibility part for the moment. If you feel it is really hard for you to come up with ideas, chances are you are too caught up with the technical field. Read some books, listen to music, make some art and daydream a bit. Then ideas will come.

Arthur

Some Resources on End-to-End Sequence Prediction

Important Papers:

Unsorted:

Important Implementations:

For reference, here are some papers on the hybrid approach:

Some Thoughts on Hours

Hours is one of the taboo topics in the tech industry. I can say couple of things, hopefully not fluffy:

  • Most hours are self-reported, so from a data perspective. It's really unclean. Funny story: Since I was 23, I work on weekends regularly, so in my past jobs, there were moments I note down some colleagues of mine who claim who work 60+ hours. What really happen is they only work 35-40. Most of them are stunned when I give them the measurement. There are few of them refused to talk with me later on. (Oh I work for some of them too.)
  • Then there is what it means by working long hours (60+ hours). And practically you should wonder why that's the case. How come one can't just issue an Unix command to solve a problem? Or if you want to know what you are doing, how come writing a 2000 words note take one more than 8 hours? How come it takes such a long time to solve your weekly issues? If we talk about coding, it also doesn't make sense. Because once you have the breakdown of a coding problem, you just have to solve them iteratively in small chunks. Usually it doesn't take more than 2 hours.
  • So here is a realistic portrait of respectable people I work with which you feel like he works long hours. What they did actually do?
    1, They do some work everyday even on holidays/vacations/weekends.
    2, They respond to you even at hours such as 1 or 2.
    3, They look agitated when things go wrong in their projects.
  • Now once you really analyze these behaviors : it doesn't really prove that the person works N hours. What it really means is that they stay up all the time. For the agitation part, it also makes more sense to say "Oh, this guy probably has anger issue, but at least he cares."
  • Sadly, there are also many people who really work more than 40, but they are also the least effective people I ever know.
  • I should mention that there are more positive part of long hours: first off learning. And my guess it is what the job description really means - you spent all your moments to learn. You might code daily but if you don't learn, then your speed won't improve at all. So this extra cost of learning is always worthwhile to pay. And that's why we always encourage members to learn.
  • Before I go, I actually follow the scheduling method from "Learning How to Learn". i.e. I took frequent breaks after 45-60 mins intense works. And my view of productivity is to continuously learn. Because new skills usually improve your workflow. Some of my past employers have huge issues with my approach. So you should understand my view is biased.
  • I would also add, there are individuals who can really work 80 hours and actually code. Usually they are either obliged by culture, influenced by drugs or shaped by their very special genes.

Hope this helps,

Arthur

My Third Quick Impression on HODL - Interviews with Pieter Abbeel and Yuanqing Lin

My Third Quick Impression on Heroes of Deep Learning (HODL), from the course deeplearning.ai. This time on the interviews with Pieter Abbeel and Yuanqing Lin.
 
* This is my 3rd write-up on HODL, unlike the previous two (Hinton and Bengio), I will summarize two interviews, Pieter Abbeel and Yuanquing Lin in one post because both of the interviews are short (<15 mins).
 
* Both researchers are comparatively less known than stars such as Hinton, Bengio, Lecun and Ng. But everyone knows Pieter Abbeel as a important RL researchers and lecturers and Yuanqin Lin is the head of Baidu's Institutes of Deep Learning.
 
* Gems from Pieter Abbeel:
- Is there anyway to learn RL from another algorithm?
- Is there anyway we can learn a game but use the knowledge to learn another game faster?
- He used to want to be a basketball player. (More like a fun fact.)
- On learning: Having a mentor is good.
 
* Gems from Yuanqin Lin
- Lin is the director of Baidu, when he was at NEC, he won the first Imagenet competition.
- Lin describes a fairly impressive experimental framework based on PaddlePaddle. Based on what he describe, Lin is building a framework which allow researchers to rerun an experiment using an ID. I wonder how scalable such framework is.
- Lin was a physics student specialized in Optics
- On learning: use open source framework first, but learn up basic algorithms.
 
That's what I have. Enjoy!
Arthur Chan